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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "【XM Foreign Exchange】: Collection of positive and negative news that affects the foreign exchange market". Hope it will be www.xm-bx.comful to you! The original content is as follows:
In the foreign exchange market, various news moves like a weather vane, always controlling the trend of currency and investors' decisions. On September 22, before entering the trading battlefield, it is necessary for investors to sort out the important positive and negative news that have affected the foreign exchange market in the near future, so as to accurately grasp the pulse of the market.
The State Administration of Foreign Exchange released data on September 7. As of the end of August 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves were US$3322.2 billion, and after the end of June, it once again stood at the 3.3 trillion US dollar mark, setting a new high in the past 10 years. Behind this data, it reflects the good trend of China's economic operation being stable and progressive. From the structural perspective, the August incremental volume showed double www.xm-bx.com of "foreign exchange + gold". Affected by weaker than expected US employment data, the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts have risen, the US dollar index has fallen, and the valuation of non-US dollar assets in my country's foreign exchange reserves has risen accordingly. In addition, the weak US dollar has promoted the appreciation of the RMB exchange rate, driving foreign trade www.xm-bx.companies to increase their willingness to settle foreign exchange and overseas investors to increase their holdings of Chinese assets. The stable growth of the scale of foreign exchange reserves not only strengthens the market's confidence in the RMB, but also provides a solid www.xm-bx.com for the RMB exchange rate in the foreign exchange market, and to a certain extent promotes the RMB to strengthen in international currency exchange.
On September 17, local time, the Federal Reserve ended its monetary policy meeting and decided to lower the target range of the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to between 4.00% and 4.25%. This is from 20241The first rate cut since February. As soon as the news came out, the US dollar index fell back. As the world's major reserve currency, the lower interest rate of the US dollar has reduced the returns of holding the US dollar, prompting international capital to seek new investment directions. This is a big benefit for emerging market currencies. Taking the RMB as an example, the weakening of the US dollar has driven the RMB to show a stronger trend against the US dollar. As of August, banks had a surplus of foreign exchange settlement and sales for four consecutive months, and cross-border income and expenditure of non-bank sectors such as enterprises and individuals were basically balanced, and my country's foreign exchange market maintained a stable operation. According to the report of the International Finance Association (IIF), foreign investors invested nearly US$45 billion in emerging market stock and bond portfolios in August, of which about US$39 billion was net in China. The large inflow of foreign capital further enhanced the attractiveness of RMB assets, driving the increase in RMB demand in foreign exchange transactions and rising prices.
The State Administration of Foreign Exchange recently issued the "Notice of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Deepening the Reform of Foreign Exchange Management in Cross-border Investment and Financing". In terms of foreign exchange management in cross-border investment, the registration of basic information on the preliminary expenses of foreign direct investment, domestic reinvestment registration of foreign-invested enterprises, etc., allowing foreign exchange profits under foreign direct investment to be reinvested domestically, and expanding the scope of the "Kahuitong" policy. In the reform of cross-border financing foreign exchange management, the scope of cross-border financing facilitation will be expanded, the facilitation quota of related enterprises will be increased, and the registration management requirements will be simplified. In terms of capital project income payment facilitation policy, we will reduce the negative list and optimize payment management. These reform measures have greatly improved the convenience of cross-border investment and financing, attracted more foreign capital to flow into the Chinese market, increased the demand for the RMB, provided strong www.xm-bx.com for the RMB exchange rate, and enhanced the www.xm-bx.competitiveness of the RMB in the foreign exchange market.
U.S. President Trump previously signed an executive order to adjust the trade policies of some countries. For example, various metals such as gold, tungsten, uranium and other metals and graphite are exempted from the global tariff system, and silicon products are included in the tax list. The uncertainty of trade policies has exacerbated the instability of the global economy. For some emerging market countries that rely heavily on exports to the United States, their currencies are under tremendous pressure. Taking India as an example, the United States imposed high tariffs on Indian goods imported to the United States, causing the Indian rupee to continue to fall. Since the beginning of the year, the US dollar/Indian rupee has risen by 3%, becoming one of the worst performing major currencies in Asia. Although the Bank of India has intervened, its efforts are limited. High tariffs are expected to severely impact key industries for India's labor-intensive SMEs, accounting for more than half of India's total annual exports to the United States. A country currency like India, which is impacted by US trade policies, has performed weakly in the foreign exchange market and is facing the risk of depreciation.
The trend of global economic growth slowing down has become increasingly obvious in recent years. The construction of single-family houses in the United States fell to a multi-year low in August, with severe unsold inventory backlogs, and some European countriesEconomic growth is weak, and emerging economies are also facing pressure to adjust economic structure to varying degrees. The weak economic growth has weakened the demand for www.xm-bx.commodities by www.xm-bx.companies and consumers, which in turn affects the demand for trade-related monetary currencies. For example, www.xm-bx.commodity currencies such as the Australian dollar and Canadian dollar have their exchange rate trends closely linked to www.xm-bx.commodity prices. As the global economic growth prospects are unclear, www.xm-bx.commodity prices have fallen, resulting in lower export incomes in these countries and lower demand for currency. In the foreign exchange market, currencies such as the Australian dollar and Canadian dollar are facing downward pressure.
The geopolitical situation continues to be tense, and the humanitarian crisis in Gaza continues to deteriorate. British Prime Minister Stamer announced that he would hold an emergency meeting with French and German leaders to discuss ways to alleviate the crisis. As an important global crude oil producing area, the instability of the Middle East has intensified market concerns about the stability of crude oil supply. The rise in geopolitical risks has caused the market to heat up risk aversion sentiment, and investors are looking for safe-haven assets, such as the US dollar and the Japanese yen, to be favored. Some currencies with more important links to geopolitical risks, such as currencies in some Middle East countries, or currencies with greater geopolitical influence due to their economic structure, face selling pressure in foreign exchange market transactions, exchange rate fluctuations are intensifying and overall depreciation trends.
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