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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "【XM Foreign Exchange Official Website】: Collection of positive and negative news that affects the foreign exchange market". Hope it will be www.xm-bx.comful to you! The original content is as follows:
Good news: Judging from the historical preventive rate cut experience, the US dollar index was weak before the Fed's interest rate cut in September, but the possibility of the US dollar index rebounding after the rate cut is implemented is high. In addition, the issuance of US bonds in September is relatively large, especially the net issuance of interest-bearing US bonds will reach US$182 billion, which may push up the long-term yield. At the same time, the net issuance of treasury bonds in September is about US$300 billion. Under the www.xm-bx.combination of multiple factors, we need to be wary of the impact of the liquidity tension in the US dollar currency market on the pulsed push of the US dollar exchange rate. The difference in manufacturing PMI of Markit and ISM shows that the United States maintains a higher prosperity, giving the US dollar a potential for appreciation, and the US dollar index is at an oversold level, with relatively greater appreciation potential.
Bold news: On September 17, 2025, the Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut, which to some extent weakened the attractiveness of the US dollar. In addition, the US federal debt has approached US$39 trillion, accounting for more than 120% of GDP. Debt sustainability is facing severe challenges. Foreign investors are gradually reducing their holdings of US debt, which also puts pressure on the trend of the US dollar.
Bold news: French political turmoil has suppressed the euro. On the afternoon of August 25, 2025 local time, French Prime Minister Belu asked the National Assembly to vote on confidence in the government on September 8. The leaders of the main opposition party have expressed their willingness to www.xm-bx.com it, increasing the risk of Beiru being removed. French bond yields are therefore included in more risk premiums, safe-haven funds flow into German bonds, and the interest rate spreads of French and German may first suppress the euro exchange rate performance from the perspective of risk sentiment. In addition, speculative long positions are crowded again, which may imply that there is pressure to pull back in the short-term market.
Bonus news: As of September 2025On the 25th, the euro rose against Bulgarian Lev, Armenian Dram, Angola Kwanza and other currencies, which showed that the euro had certain advantages in the exchange with some currencies.
Good news: UK economic data in August showed resilience, inflation pressure further increased, the Bank of England's "hawkish" position may be strengthened, and expectations for interest rate cuts this year will further reduce, which will be positive for the pound and pressure on the euro against the pound. The UK's public sector net borrowings of £1.054 billion in July, lower than expected, the lowest in the same period in the past three years, with fiscal risks improving.
Bold news: There is no obvious and direct negative news yet, but the repetition of Brexit sentiment is still a potential risk factor, which may lead to fluctuations in the pound exchange rate.
Bold news: As of September 25, the yen exchange rate against the pound fell by 1.96%, which reflects the weakness of the yen to a certain extent. In addition, the Bank of Japan's monetary policy is relatively loose, which may also suppress the yen exchange rate.
Bonus news: There is no obvious positive news yet. However, if global risk sentiment fluctuates significantly, the yen as a safe-haven currency may be sought after.
In addition, investors should also pay attention to the data on the day of the Bank of Japan's release of the minutes of the July monetary policy meeting at 7:50, the speech by the Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda at 13:30, the monthly rate of the US FHFA House Price Index in July 21:00, and the Consumer Confidence Index in September 22:00. The performance of these data may have further impact on the foreign exchange market.
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