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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Official Website]: Trump's 20-point plan violates the draft submitted by many countries, and the short-term trend analysis of spot gold, silver, crude oil and foreign exchange on October 3." Hope it will be www.xm-bx.comful to you! The original content is as follows:
The three major futures indexes rose, with the S&P 500 futures rising 0.2%, the Nasdaq 100 futures rising 0.3%, and the Dow futures index rising 0.2%. The European Stoke 50 index rose 0.35% on the opening, the UK's FTSE 100 index rose 0.49%, the French CAC40 index rose 0.28%, and the German DAX index rose 0.18%.
Pakistan Vice Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Dahl confirmed in his speech in the Pakistan Parliament today (October 3) that the "20-point plan" announced by US President Trump on September 29 local time, aiming to end the Gaza conflict is inconsistent with the draft previously submitted to him by eight Arab and Islamic countries, and some contents in the draft have been revised. Dahl said that during his meeting with Trump on September 23 local time, eight countries, including Pakistan, proposed "Israel's full withdrawal from Gaza" and wrote this point in the draft and "to achieve fair and peacefulness based on the 'two-state solution'." But Trump finally announced the "20-point plan" that all military operations will be suspended and the front will be frozen until the conditions for Israel's "complete phased withdrawal" are met. In addition, the "two-state solution" is not mentioned in the plan. Dahl said Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Egypt, Jordan, Turkey, Indonesia and Pakistan, who met with Trump that day, received a promise from Trump that he would not allow Israel to annex the occupied Jordan River.West Bank. However, this is not mentioned in the announced "20-point plan".
On October 3 local time, the Czech Republic holds a 2025 House of Representatives election vote. 4,463 candidates nominated by 26 political parties and alliances of political parties will www.xm-bx.compete for 200 seats in the House of Representatives. There were about 8 million registered voters in this election, and about 14,800 polling stations were established nationwide. The first day's voting will last from 14:00 local time on the 3rd to 22:00; the voting on the 4th will start from 8:00 and end at 14:00. The preliminary voting results are expected to be announced on the afternoon of the 4th. The Czech parliament implements a bi-house system. House members serve 4 years. The last House election in the Czech Republic was held in October 2021, with a total of 7 political parties entering the parliament.
⑴ Chevron's El Segundo refinery in Los Angeles on Thursday, with a daily processing capacity of 285,000 barrels, making it Chevron's second largest refinery in the United States. ⑵ The fire point is located in the Isomax7 device, which specializes in converting the middle distillate fuel oil into jet fuel, providing aviation fuel to Los Angeles International Airport. ⑶The refinery supplies 20% of Southern California's automobile fuel and 40% of aviation fuel, and the fire poses a direct threat to regional energy supply. ⑷There have been a total of 11 refinery fires in the United States since 2025, involving many major energy www.xm-bx.companies such as Chevron and Marathon Petroleum. ⑸ Marathon Petroleum Galveston Bay Refinery in Texas in June affected a key device with a daily output of 255,000 barrels, with the total processing capacity of the plant reaching 631,000 barrels per day. ⑹ The fire in Phillips 66 Linden Refinery in New Jersey in August caused the suspension of production of the fluid catalytic cracking device, which directly affected the daily production of 258,000 barrels of transport fuel. ⑺The fire at the California Benicia refinery in May damaged the fluid catalytic cracking device with a daily output of 77,000 barrels. The plant's total processing capacity was 145,000 barrels per day. ⑻The accident has injured 4 workers, most of which occurred during equipment maintenance and operation, exposing hidden dangers of production safety. ⑼The causes of fire cover multiple factors such as equipment failure, lightning strikes, and power outages, reflecting the aging and vulnerability of energy infrastructure. ⑽The ongoing accidents put pressure on the fuel supply system across the United States, especially in key links such as aviation fuel and gasoline production. ⑾Many www.xm-bx.companies are forced to reduce their operating rates or shut down production and maintenance, further aggravating regional energy supply tensions. ⑿The series of fire incidents highlights the urgent need for the US refining industry to upgrade infrastructure and strengthen safety management.
The EU Council issued a press announcement on October 3 local time stating that it has decided to extend individual restrictive measures on some Russian-related personnel for another one year until October 9, 2026. The announcement stated that the extended measures include asset freezes, travel bans and prohibitions on providing financial or economic resources to listed individuals. The EU will continue to closely monitor the development of the situation.And further adjustments to relevant sanctions may be made as needed.
⑴ The shutdown of the US government caused the Labor Department to suspend the release of economic data, and the monthly employment report originally scheduled to be released on Friday was forced to be cancelled. ⑵ The trading hall and investment www.xm-bx.companies were extremely quiet, and Wall Street's daily work rhythm was www.xm-bx.completely disrupted on Friday. ⑶A London-based strategist admitted that Friday is indeed like a long lunch time now. ⑷ Investment www.xm-bx.company strategists pointed out that economists usually need to be on guard at 8:30 in the morning, but now they suddenly have free time. ⑸ The market is closely following the trends of the labor market and trying to interpret potential clues about the Fed's future path to cut interest rates. ⑹ The chief strategist of the institution emphasized that the data accuracy was questioned a few weeks ago, but now the market is suddenly trapped in a data vacuum. ⑺A famous financial expert who often interprets employment data said that the plan that day was simply adjusted to "sleep in." ⑻ Employment data is known as the "king of numbers" in the industry, and the king is now forced to take a vacation. ⑼Commodity traders are concerned that if the data is missing until mid-October, they will be forced to close positions early to avoid risks.
⑴ Oil prices continue to be under pressure, and the continued expansion of global oil supply and weak demand growth have formed a sharp contradiction. ⑵ Data from the International Energy Agency shows that the implicit supply surplus in 2026 may exceed 3 million barrels per day, a surge of 400% from the expected level of 600,000 barrels per day this year. ⑶ Current crude oil price hovered around US$65 per barrel, halved from the early stages of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict in 2022. ⑷OPEC+ will hold a meeting this weekend, and the market expects the www.xm-bx.comanization to accelerate the lifting of production restrictions imposed during the epidemic. ⑸ Geopolitical factors are still the key uncertainty affecting oil price forecasts, and continue to affect the nerves of oil-producing countries and consumers.
⑴The US economic schedule next week is light, and the interference of the government shutdown on the market is expected to be limited. The US Treasury Department will maintain regular government bond bidding arrangements. ⑵ The initial U.S. International Trade Report, originally scheduled for Tuesday, and the initial value of the University of Michigan October Consumer Confidence Index on Friday, were both cancelled, and the market may face a data vacuum. ⑶ The Treasury Department will sell $58 billion in three-year bonds on Tuesday, $39 billion in 10-year bonds on Wednesday, and $22 billion in 30-year bonds on Thursday. ⑷ Although the bond market has not yet fully digested the potential fiscal impact of federal employee leave, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield has stood at the 4% mark and the demand outlook remains solid. ⑸ www.xm-bx.companies such as Delta Airlines and LeviStrauss will disclose their third-quarter financial reports on Thursday, and large Wall Street banks will then take over and release their results, becoming the new focus of the market.
⑴ Italian Minister of Economic Affairs called on the ECB to resume the rate cut process in the government's multi-year budget plan. ⑵He pointed out that the move aims to revive the current nearly stagnant euro zone economy as a wholesituation. ⑶ The budget document clearly states that the overall stagnation of the European economy requires more relaxed interest rate environment www.xm-bx.com. ⑷ Italian public debt interest expenditure is expected to rise from 3.9% of GDP in 2025 to 4.3% in 2028. ⑸ The debt-to-GDP ratio target shows a continuous upward trend, rising from 134.9% in 2024 to 137.4% in 2026. ⑹The budget plan was officially approved by the Italian cabinet on Thursday night. ⑺The Minister of Economic Affairs stressed that the proposal for interest rate cuts should be implemented within the framework of www.xm-bx.compliance with the ECB's responsibilities.
⑴ New York Fed President Williams emphasized on Friday that unpredictable changes are inevitable and the central bank needs to formulate corresponding response strategies. ⑵ In his pre-prepared speech, he pointed out that uncertainty and change will continue to exist in the foreseeable future. ⑶ Changes in global population structure, development of artificial intelligence and innovation in the financial system are listed as key drivers of change. ⑷ Williams made it clear that formerly non-traditional monetary policies such as bond purchases have now been transformed into conventional tools. ⑸ The central bank's policies can play a greater role when the public fully understands them, and www.xm-bx.communication transparency is crucial. ⑹ Sound monetary policy must recognize the basic fact that the economy is always in dynamic changes. ⑺ A strong policy framework maintains economic stability by anchoring inflation expectations. ⑻ Williams did not make any specific www.xm-bx.comments on the prospects for short-term monetary policy, focusing on the construction of a long-term policy framework.
⑴ US President Trump is discussing providing at least $10 billion in relief plans to American farmers to alleviate pressure on the agricultural sector. ⑵Kiev submitted a plan to Washington, planning to assist the United States in replacing Russia's oil supply to Europe and promoting the process of energy de-Russia. ⑶ Two White House officials confirmed that the list of federal agencies has been drafted and the specific plan is expected to be officially announced as early as tomorrow. ⑷ A White House spokesman said it would set a deadline for Gaza's "20-point plan" and asked Hamas to accept the plan. ⑸At the request of the US Department of Justice, Apple removed the application software ICEBlock and similar products that can track the trends of immigration law enforcement personnel. ⑹This series of measures shows that the US government is simultaneously promoting domestic agricultural assistance, energy strategy adjustment and government agencies streamlining. ⑺Immigration law enforcement and Middle East policies have also shown a tough attitude of setting clear deadlines and strengthening control.
⑴ US President Trump is discussing providing at least $10 billion in relief plans to American farmers to alleviate pressure on the agricultural sector. ⑵Kiev submitted a plan to Washington, planning to assist the United States in replacing Russia's oil supply to Europe and promoting the process of energy de-Russia. ⑶ Two White House officials confirmed that the list of federal agencies has been drafted and the specific plan is expected to be officially announced as early as tomorrow. ⑷ A White House spokesman said it would set a deadline for Gaza's "20-point plan" and asked Hamas to accept the plan. ⑸Apple will be removed from the shelves at the request of the US Department of JusticeICEBlock and similar products that track the trends of immigration law enforcement personnel. ⑹This series of measures shows that the US government is simultaneously promoting domestic agricultural assistance, energy strategy adjustment and government agencies streamlining. ⑺Immigration law enforcement and Middle East policies have also shown a tough attitude of setting clear deadlines and strengthening control.
Euro/USD: As of 20:23 Beijing time, the euro/USD rose, and is now at 1.1736, an increase of 0.17%. Before the New York Stock Exchange, in recent day trading, the price of (EURUSD) rose, www.xm-bx.comed by positive signals from the relative strength indicators, reaching its EMA50 resistance level, and tested bearish correction trend line in the short term, strengthening the importance of the region as a key resistance, which will determine the trend in the near future.
GBP/USD: As of 20:23 Beijing time, GBP/USD rose, now at 1.3449, an increase of 0.06%. Before the New York Stock Exchange, after reaching oversold levels, the (GBPUSD) price closed with a cautious upward rise with a positive signal from the relative strength indicators, trying to get rid of these conditions to hit its EMA50 resistance and put it under negative pressure, forcing it to stop intraday gains, and by breaking the bullish correction trend line on a short-term basis, reducing its chances of recovery and exacerbating negative pressure.
Spot gold: As of 20:23 Beijing time, spot gold rose, now at 3863.56, an increase of 0.19%. Before the New York Stock Exchange, the (gold) price continued to fluctuate within a limited range, tending to rise at the last trading day level in an attempt to gain bullish momentum, which could www.xm-bx.com it recover to record record highs on a recent basis, noting positive signals on the relative strength indicators, and the dynamic pressure represented by its trading continues to exist above the EMA50, strengthening its chances of recovery as the short-term major bullish trend dominates.
Spot silver: As of 20:23 Beijing time, spot silver rose, now at 47.625, an increase of 1.40%. Before the New York Stock Exchange, the (silver) price rose on the last trading day to attack the $47.50 resistance, www.xm-bx.comed by its continued trading above the EMA50, besides positive signals appearing on the relative strength indicators, led by the main bullish trend on the short-term basis and the www.xm-bx.com trend line trading along the track.
Crude Oil Market: As of 20:23 Beijing time, U.S. oil rose to 60.620, up 0.25%. Before the New York Stock Exchange, in the latest intraday trading, the price of (crude oil) fell, and had previously given up its previous gains under the oversold conditions of relatively strong indicators, which led to more losses in the short term. With a small bearish trend dominated short-term, negative pressure continued to intensify due to its trading price below the 50-day index moving average (EMA50), which strengthened downward pressure.
Morgan Stanley bets that after the UK announced its budget in November, the pound will rebound and hit a 10-year high next year. The U.S. bank advises investors to take advantage of any downside opportunities before the UK's Finance Minister Reeves announced its fiscal plan on November 26 to establish long positions. The agency expects that by mid-2026, the pound will climb from below 1.35 to 1.45 against the US dollar GBP/USD, which is the level before the 2016 Brexit referendum. David Adams, head of G10 currency strategy at Morgan Stanley, said that there are budget concerns, transfers and spreads trading and weakness in the US dollar. Against the background, we are happy to buy the pound that others have sold due to their budget. At present, more and more banks expect the pound to fall before the budget is announced, while most strategists expect the pound to rise slightly to 1.38 by the middle of next year.
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