Countdown to 1 day! The U.S. government will spend all its money, and both parties will fight to the death for medical treatment

XM Foreign Exchange APP News—The differences between the two parties are concentrated on the bottom line of medical policies and negotiations, and both hold certain bargaining chips. Republican stance: Since taking full control of the White House and Congress last year, it advocated promoting appropriations according to its own leading plan, refused to negotiate on the "short-term temporary bill", and was only willing to www.xm-bx.compromise with the Democrats against the "long-term appropriations bill". At the same time, it accused the Democrats of using the "government shutdown" as a threat to promote extreme left-wing demands. Democratic bargaining chips: Although the Republicans control the bureau, the Senate needs 60 votes to pass the bill (the Republicans only have 53 seats), and the Democratic Party has the leverage of key votes. Its core demands include: extending subsidies that expire at the end of the year by Obamacare reform, revoking Trump's previous cuts to Medicaid; and refuting the Republican allegations that "providing medical insurance for illegal immigrants" are lies. Historical reference: Half a year ago, the Democratic Party www.xm-bx.compromised against the Republican Appropriation Act, but this time it clearly stated that "we need to have a voice in the final legislation" and is unwilling to make any concessions. The government shutdown curbs market preferences and increases social burdens from people's livelihood to the economy. The shutdown may trigger a chain reaction, posing additional pressure on the already vulnerable US economy, affecting the value of the US dollar endorsed by the credit of the US government. Direct impact of people's livelihood: Millions of federal employees (including military personnel) will suspend pay, and hundreds of thousands of people will face temporary dismissal; even if wages are reissued after the suspension, short-term cash flow pressure will impact the consumption capacity of middle- and low-income families - and the current U.S. inflation remains high, further amplifying the burden of people's livelihood. Economic fundamental risks: The US economy has shown a "differentiation signal" (the stock market highs coexist with the pressure of entities), and the shutdown may exacerbate vulnerability: on the one hand, the damage caused by Trump's tariffs to farmers and small businesses continues;On the one hand, the employment market for college graduates is sluggish, and the shutdown may lead to the stagnation of relevant government employment www.xm-bx.com policies, further curbing domestic demand. Impact of policy uncertainty: For the financial market, the government shutdown will aggravate the uncertainty of the "policy window period" and may suppress market risk appetite - especially the current market still has two key obstacles to current negotiations, which increases the difficulty of implementing the agreement: House of Representatives Time Difference: House of Representatives has passed the "temporary appropriations bill" (extending funds until November 21), but the House will resume its meeting on October 7 (one week after the suspension); if an agreement is reached on Monday, it is necessary to temporarily recall the members of parliament to return to work to vote, which is difficult to operate. Senate veto record: The Senate has also vetoed the Republican interim bill and the Democratic healthcare + appropriation bundling plan, and the two parties have a weak consensus base in the Senate. However, Monday's talks themselves sent a signal that "both parties are unwilling to take the blame" - both sides are worried that voters will be held accountable after the shutdown, which reserves a little possibility for "last-minute www.xm-bx.compromise." However, judging from the current situation, if the talks still have no substantial progress, the risk of shutdown will remain high.

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